文章摘要
宫攀,刘娟,郑琪.基于GWR模型的山东省产业升级地理空间分布格局及影响因素分析[J].国土资源科技管理,2019,36(6):13-28
基于GWR模型的山东省产业升级地理空间分布格局及影响因素分析
Analysis on Geographical Spatial Distribution Pattern and Influencing Factors of Industrial Upgrading in Shandong Province Based on GWR Model
  
DOI:
中文关键词: GWR模型;产业升级;空间自相关;地理加权回归  山东省
英文关键词: GWR model  industrial upgrading  spatial correlation  geographic weighted regression  Shandong Province
基金项目:
作者单位
宫攀 青岛科技大学经济与管理学院山东青岛266061 
刘娟 青岛科技大学经济与管理学院山东青岛266061 
郑琪 青岛科技大学经济与管理学院山东青岛266061 
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中文摘要:
      在新旧动能转化的大背景下,山东省逐步进入经济转型升级的新阶段,如何科学制定山东省产业优化升级战略是新旧动能转换的关键问题。选择山东省区县作为基本空间单元,以2008—2017年山东省社会经济数据为依据,采用探索性空间数据分析和地理加权回归分析等计量经济学方法,探讨山东省产业升级的地理空间分布格局及其影响因素。研究显示:从整体上看,山东省产业升级具有正的空间相关性,产业结构升级水平相似的地区在空间上是集聚分布的;消费水平、固定资产投资、出口贸易以及政府规模与产业升级具有空间正相关性,对产业升级有促进作用;不同区县的消费水平、固定资产投资、出口贸易和政府规模对产业升级的影响有差异。为推动山东省产业结构向更高质量发展,加快优化升级速度,应针对不同地区采取差异化发展策略。
英文摘要:
      Under the background of the transformation of old and new driving forces,Shandong province has gradually entered a new stage of economic transformation and upgrading.Formulating the strategy of industrial optimization and upgrading in Shandong province scientifically becomes the key problem of the transformation of old and new driving forces.Selecting the districts and counties as the basic spatial units,this paper is on the basis of the social and economic data of Shandong province from 2008 to 2017 and applies the econometric methods such as exploratory spatial data analysis (ESDA) and geographic weighted regression (GWR) to study geographical spatial distribution pattern and its influencing factors of industrial upgrading in Shandong Province.The study shows that industrial upgrading in Shandong province has positive spatial correlation in general,and regions with similar industrial structure upgrading are spatially clustered and distributed.Consumption,fixed asset investment,export trade and government scale have positive spatial correlations with industrial upgrading,which can promote industrial upgrading.The influences of consumption,fixed asset investment,export trade and government scale on industrial upgrading are different in different districts and counties.In order to promote the higher quality of industrial structure of Shandong province and accelerate optimization and upgrading,differentiated development strategies should be adopted in different regions.
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