文章摘要
赵小风,李娅娅,郑雨倩,金志丰,张晓蕾.产业结构、农民收入结构对耕地非粮化的影响[J].国土资源科技管理,2019,36(5):66-77
产业结构、农民收入结构对耕地非粮化的影响
Impact of Industrial Structure and Farmers Income Structure on the Non Grain Conversion of Arable Land
  
DOI:
中文关键词: 产业结构  农民收入结构  耕地非粮化  面板数据模型
英文关键词: industrial structure  farmers income structure  non grain arable land  panel data model
基金项目:
作者单位
赵小风 1.河海大学公共管理学院江苏南京211100 
李娅娅 1.河海大学公共管理学院江苏南京211100 
郑雨倩 1.河海大学公共管理学院江苏南京211100 
金志丰 2.江苏省国土资源研究中心江苏南京210024 
张晓蕾 2.江苏省国土资源研究中心江苏南京210024 
摘要点击次数: 29
全文下载次数: 34
中文摘要:
      近年来我国耕地非粮化现象越来越普遍,对我国经济发展与粮食安全产生隐患。选取并整理中国31个省、市、自治区2000—2017年的数据,通过构建面板数据模型,从产业结构、农民收入结构角度分析了我国省域层面耕地非粮化的驱动机制。研究结果表明: 2000—2017年,我国耕地非粮化面积和比率呈现先增长后下降再增长的总体趋势,经济作物产业发达的省份耕地非粮化情况更为严重。产业结构、农村居民收入结构对耕地非粮化面积和耕地非粮化率都有显著影响。产业结构中,一产比重和三产比重对耕地非粮化面积及耕地非粮化率有显著的负向作用,而二产比重对耕地非粮化面积和非粮化率均有显著的正向影响。农民收入结构中,工资性收入比对耕地非粮化面积和耕地非粮化率均有显著的正向作用;家庭经营性收入比对耕地非粮化面积起正向作用,但对耕地非粮化率影响作用不大;财产性收入比对耕地非粮化面积和耕地非粮化率均有显著的负向影响。为促进适度耕地非粮化,应尽快对耕地过度非粮化现象采取针对性管控。
英文摘要:
      In recent years, non grain arable land has become more and more common in China, which has brought hidden danger to Chinas economic development and food security.This paper chose and collated the data of 31 provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions in China from 2000 to 2017.By constructing panel data model, this paper analysed the driving mechanism of non grain arable land at the provincial level from the perspective of industrial structure and farmers income structure, and provided reference for the formulation of cultivated land protection policy and the reform of rural land system in China.The results showed that from 2000 to 2017, the non grain area and ratio of cultivated land showed an overall trend of growth at first, then decline and then growth, and the situation of non grain cultivated land in provinces with developed cash crop industry was more serious.The industrial structure and farmers income structure had significant effects on the non grain area and ratio of cultivated land.For industrial structure, the proportion of primary and tertiary industry had a significant negative effect on the non grain arable land, while the proportion of secondary industry had an obvious positive effect on the non grain area and ratio of arable land.For income structure, the WIR had a significant positive effect on the non grain area and ratio of arable land;the BIR had a positive effect on the non grain arable land area, but it had little effect on the non grain arable land rate;and the PIR had a significant negative effect on the non grain area and ratio of arable land.To promote moderate non grain arable land, excessive non grain arable land should be controlled reasonably.
查看全文   查看/发表评论  下载PDF阅读器
关闭